by Guillaume Endignoux
贝恩咨询预测，在温和情景下，未来AI推理基础设施支出可能下降30%-50%。这正是杰文斯悖论的反向演绎：通常情况下，资源使用效率的提升会增加总需求；但在AI领域，当算法优化的速度超过应用落地的速度时，效率提升反而先冲击了硬件供应商的定价权。
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The multifaceted nature of Social Security is why she’s optimistic about saving it, she added. First, there is the range of options within the rules. Shedden cited the Social Security at 90 report, which already mapped out many viable legislative solutions in January 2025. A joint study by the AARP, the National Academy of Social Insurance, the National Institute on Retirement Security, and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, it recommended adjusting the maximum taxable earnings cap, which historically covered 90% of Americans’ income, but now only covers about 80% because of concentrated wealth among the top 6% to 10%. Options include applying payroll taxes to earnings over $400,000 or eliminating the cap entirely, as is done with Medicare. Another option is incrementally raising the worker payroll tax from 6.2% to 7.2%. Surprisingly, raising the full retirement age—which Shedden emphasizes is actually a benefit cut—is not a highly supported policy change.